Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.021318 0.022943 0.024634 0.026525 0.028583 0.030757 0.033229
2025-12-28 0.018542 0.020868 0.023412 0.026408 0.029848 0.033685 0.038300
2026-01-04 0.016749 0.019480 0.022581 0.026378 0.030919 0.036196 0.042829
2026-01-11 0.015486 0.018496 0.022020 0.026470 0.031974 0.038597 0.047230
2026-01-18 0.014455 0.017658 0.021505 0.026497 0.032852 0.040733 0.051341
2026-01-25 0.013664 0.017028 0.021162 0.026658 0.033838 0.042989 0.055675
2026-02-01 0.012802 0.016235 0.020539 0.026386 0.034203 0.044412 0.058943
2026-02-08 0.011981 0.015435 0.019845 0.025951 0.034290 0.045424 0.061664
2026-02-15 0.011351 0.014840 0.019371 0.025762 0.034665 0.046808 0.064939
2026-02-22 0.010753 0.014250 0.018864 0.025483 0.034876 0.047946 0.067893
2026-03-01 0.010244 0.013750 0.018446 0.025291 0.035179 0.049202 0.071063
2026-03-08 0.009782 0.013290 0.018054 0.025105 0.035464 0.050425 0.074227
2026-03-15 0.009407 0.012948 0.017830 0.025175 0.036167 0.052362 0.078706
2026-03-22 0.008991 0.012529 0.017477 0.025041 0.036560 0.053861 0.082619
2026-03-29 0.008638 0.012182 0.017207 0.025009 0.037096 0.055592 0.087001
2026-04-05 0.008347 0.011908 0.017028 0.025095 0.037806 0.057621 0.091985
2026-04-12 0.008061 0.011627 0.016820 0.025120 0.038412 0.059503 0.096834
2026-04-19 0.007828 0.011413 0.016700 0.025271 0.039217 0.061740 0.102425
2026-04-26 0.007507 0.011051 0.016337 0.025015 0.039340 0.062848 0.106104
2026-05-03 0.007169 0.010648 0.015893 0.024606 0.039182 0.063464 0.108930
2026-05-10 0.006908 0.010353 0.015603 0.024428 0.039396 0.064715 0.112977
2026-05-17 0.006643 0.010041 0.015272 0.024165 0.039446 0.065676 0.116537
2026-05-24 0.006412 0.009774 0.014999 0.023985 0.039623 0.066861 0.120587